Monday, July 11, 2011

Trade Deadline Buzz: Peguero for Cuddyer


Over at ESPN has a post on 5 NL trades that should happen(Insider Required) and one of them involves the Giants trading for .
It's possible that the Giants will decide to bask in the glow of their 2010 title and not bother with a mid-season upgrade, but this club is in desperate need of some offense. If they get a bat or two, they can repeat.

The Twins need to start looking to the future, and Cuddyer, who's 32 and a free agent after this year, probably isn't a part of it. He's an ideal NL player because he can play first base or right field, as well as second or third in a pinch. Therefore, he would give manager Bruce Bochy a ton of flexibility on double switches. Also, Cuddyer has the extra special veteran glow the Giants so desperately covet.

, who Keith Law ranked as the Giants' No. 4 prospect in the preseason, missed the first couple of months of the season with a knee injury. The 23-year-old has posted an .849 OPS since his recent promotion to Double-A, and would be a good return for a free-agent-to-be such as Cuddyer.
This is an interesting trade idea and I think that it makes a good amount of sense for both teams. Using this handy dandy trade evaluation tool if we assume that Cuddyer has a WAR of 1.25 over the last 2 months of the season he would have a surplus value of approximately $3.2 million.

The other wrinkle to consider is the possibility of getting some potential draft picks if he leaves as a free agent as MLB Trade Rumors has him listed as a potential Type A Free Agent which would increase his potential value another $5 million or so giving him a total potential surplus value of around $8 million.

On the flip side Peguero is a toolsy B prospect with good speed and some decent gap power. He doesn't walk at all so he is dependent on being able to hit for a high average to be valuable which is the big unknown for him as he has just 17 games above A ball. A prospect of his caliber should be worth around $4-5 million, this would make it a pretty fair trade for both teams.

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