Wednesday, February 16, 2011

The Giants Bench Projections


I have gone through all the regular position players, so now it is time to look at the guys that I expect to start the season on the bench.

Again, like the regulars, I give a projection, a best case, and a worst case.


Travis Ishikawa

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .260 .321 .406 37 14 1 6 35 1
Best Case .286 .353 .446 48 18 2 8 46 2
Worst Case .234 .289 .365 26 10 1 4 25 0

Ishikawa could be in some trouble if Brandon Belt is the real deal. The need for his plus defense and lefty bat would be redundant, as Belt has that and much more upside. Ishikawa will be fighting to show that he deserves to be on the team or he may be headed out of town in the roster crunch at the end of Spring Training (similar to Fred Lewis last season).

Aaron Rowand

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .250 .309 .398 49 20 1 12 45 5
Best Case .275 .339 .438 63 26 1 16 59 6
Worst Case .225 .278 .3358 34 14 1 9 32 3

The $60 million dollar man has not exactly lived up to that billing in his time with San Francisco. I expect that he will be better than last season, but he is fighting for the 4th outfield spot which will limit his playing time. If he has a good Spring and the Giants are willing to eat most of the contract, he is another trade candidate to free up room on the 25 man roster.

Nate Schierholtz

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .259 .315 .406 40 18 4 5 29 5
Best Case .285 .346 .447 52 23 5 7 37 7
Worst Case .233 .283 .366 28 12 3 4 20 3

The projection systems all love Nate, with both Zips and Bill James projecting a line around .275/.320/.430, but he has yet to turn in a full season of solid play. If he could approach his projections, he could supplant Cody Ross or Pat Burrell in the outfield. If not, he is destined to be a defensive replacement who only gets the occasional at-bat.

Eli Whiteside

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .235 .291 .379 19 9 1 5 19 2
Best Case .259 .320 .417 25 11 2 6 25 2
Worst Case .212 .262 .341 14 6 1 3 13 1

Whiteside should only play once or twice a week, so I don't care all that much about what he does with the bat (as long as he holds on to it and doesn't fling it into the dugout, injuring Buster Posey or any of the starting pitchers).

Mike Fontenot

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .270 .327 .388 36 19 3 4 35 2
Best Case .297 .360 .427 46 24 3 5 3 4
Worst Case .243 .300 .349 25 13 2 3 24 2

Fontenot doesn't give much to be excited about. He is here for depth and Freddy Sanchez injury insurance.

Mark DeRosa

BA OBP SLG R 2B 3B HR RBI SB
2011 Projections .255 .330 .395 45 15 3 10 50 2
Best Case .274 .351 .414 55 20 5 14 60 3
Worst Case .224 .287 .339 28 10 1 7 28 1

DeRosa is a hard one to project. There are a number of questions surrounding his wrist and if he can regain his swing that he had two seasons ago. If he is healthy and productive, he could be a very valuable guy to have moving around the diamond, giving guys a day off without sacrificing any offensive production. If he isn't healthy, well I guess we know that the team is capable of winning without him.

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