Next in line for the Giants 2011 projections is the newly minted #2 starter, .
Most projections that you will see give you one line of stats. I know my limitations, so I will gave you that line of stats, but also a best case and a worst case scenario, so you can get an idea of my general range for that player.
Without further ado, the projection:
Year | ERA | W | L | IP | H | K | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2011 Projection | 3.39 | 12 | 10 | 184 | 149 | 20 | 91 | 185 |
Best Case | 2.72 | 14 | 8 | 221 | 179 | 24 | 95 | 235 |
Worst Case | 4.07 | 9 | 12 | 148 | 119 | 16 | 110 | 125 |
Sanchez is a frustrating guy to project. At times he is absolutely unhittable and looks like the second coming of . At other times, he can't find the strike zone and you wonder if he is worth the headache.
If you've followed the Giants, this shouldn't come as a surprise to you, as this is the main complaint lodged against him. Last season, I wrote a little bit about his up's and down's and I imagine that this season will be filled with them as well.
If he can get a little more control and not lose the mental focus, he could have ace type stuff. Lefties with strikeout stuff don't come around that often. Since 2000, only 13 left-handed pitchers have thrown 150+ while striking out at least a batter an inning. One of them is Sanchez, who has accomplished this the last 2 seasons.
If he puts things together for the whole season, the ceiling is a Cy Young. He has the talent that's never been in question. More realistically, he is a solid above average pitcher who will be very frustrating to watch at times. That is the pitcher that I expect in 2011, but in the back of my mind, I know that there is the risk of him completely falling apart and going toward that worst case.
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