The Giants 2012 Average Projections: Pitchers
I will do something a little different this year and instead of doing my own projections I will post the averages of the different projection systems available on Fangraphs. If I have time before the season starts maybe I will update my model and put the new numbers in there but I am not sure if I will have the time to do that so this might have to suffice this season.
Starters:
|
Tim Lincecum
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
13
|
11
|
3.35
|
207
|
186
|
17
|
207
|
75
|
1.26
|
8.98
|
3.26
|
3.29
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
16
|
9
|
3.04
|
210
|
174
|
71
|
15
|
222
|
79
|
1.20
|
9.51
|
3.39
|
2.97
|
|
Fans
|
15
|
9
|
2.89
|
220
|
185
|
71
|
16
|
233
|
78
|
1.20
|
9.53
|
3.19
|
3.10
|
|
ZiPS
|
16
|
9
|
2.92
|
212
|
177
|
69
|
15
|
225
|
75
|
1.18
|
9.52
|
3.17
|
2.97
|
|
Marcel
|
12
|
10
|
3.13
|
190
|
160
|
66
|
14
|
195
|
66
|
1.19
|
9.24
|
3.13
|
3.06
|
|
Average
|
14
|
10
|
3.07
|
208
|
176
|
69
|
15
|
216
|
75
|
1.21
|
9.36
|
3.23
|
3.08
|
|
Matt Cain
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
12
|
12
|
3.89
|
207
|
204
|
25
|
167
|
65
|
1.30
|
7.26
|
2.82
|
4.00
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
17
|
8
|
2.87
|
210
|
171
|
67
|
13
|
169
|
62
|
1.11
|
7.24
|
2.66
|
3.11
|
|
Fans
|
13
|
10
|
3.11
|
222
|
191
|
77
|
17
|
186
|
64
|
1.15
|
7.54
|
2.59
|
3.37
|
|
ZiPS
|
14
|
8
|
3.04
|
213
|
183
|
72
|
16
|
171
|
62
|
1.15
|
7.23
|
2.62
|
3.36
|
|
Marcel
|
11
|
9
|
3.03
|
193
|
159
|
65
|
14
|
156
|
56
|
1.11
|
7.27
|
2.61
|
3.32
|
|
Average
|
13
|
9
|
3.19
|
209
|
182
|
70
|
17
|
170
|
62
|
1.16
|
7.31
|
2.66
|
3.43
|
|
Madison Bumgarner
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
12
|
11
|
3.59
|
196
|
187
|
18
|
171
|
61
|
1.27
|
7.87
|
2.82
|
3.50
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
15
|
8
|
3.02
|
200
|
201
|
67
|
13
|
181
|
45
|
1.23
|
8.15
|
2.03
|
2.74
|
|
Fans
|
14
|
9
|
3.18
|
204
|
195
|
72
|
16
|
184
|
49
|
1.20
|
8.12
|
2.16
|
3.11
|
|
ZiPS
|
13
|
10
|
3.45
|
198
|
197
|
76
|
15
|
164
|
48
|
1.24
|
7.44
|
2.18
|
3.18
|
|
Marcel
|
11
|
10
|
3.28
|
173
|
165
|
63
|
13
|
156
|
42
|
1.20
|
8.12
|
2.18
|
3.02
|
|
Average
|
13
|
10
|
3.30
|
194
|
189
|
70
|
15
|
171
|
49
|
1.23
|
7.94
|
2.27
|
3.11
|
|
Ryan Vogelsong
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
RotoChamp
|
11
|
8
|
3.55
|
175
|
160
|
69
|
15
|
136
|
60
|
1.26
|
6.99
|
3.09
|
3.62
|
|
Fans
|
10
|
10
|
3.95
|
171
|
171
|
75
|
17
|
123
|
63
|
1.37
|
6.47
|
3.32
|
4.16
|
|
ZiPS
|
8
|
10
|
4.18
|
153
|
156
|
71
|
17
|
119
|
60
|
1.41
|
7.00
|
3.53
|
4.21
|
|
Marcel
|
10
|
7
|
3.43
|
147
|
139
|
56
|
13
|
114
|
51
|
1.29
|
6.98
|
3.12
|
3.75
|
|
Average
|
10
|
9
|
3.78
|
162
|
157
|
68
|
16
|
123
|
59
|
1.33
|
6.86
|
3.27
|
3.94
|
|
Barry Zito
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
7
|
9
|
4.59
|
124
|
130
|
16
|
85
|
50
|
1.45
|
6.14
|
3.62
|
4.63
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
8
|
8
|
4.47
|
155
|
146
|
77
|
20
|
110
|
69
|
1.39
|
6.39
|
4.01
|
4.62
|
|
Fans
|
7
|
9
|
4.70
|
135
|
133
|
71
|
17
|
95
|
58
|
1.41
|
6.33
|
3.87
|
4.75
|
|
ZiPS
|
7
|
8
|
4.28
|
124
|
118
|
59
|
15
|
92
|
52
|
1.37
|
6.68
|
3.77
|
4.47
|
|
Marcel
|
5
|
7
|
4.19
|
103
|
97
|
48
|
12
|
77
|
41
|
1.34
|
6.73
|
3.58
|
4.33
|
|
Average
|
7
|
8
|
4.45
|
128
|
125
|
64
|
16
|
92
|
54
|
1.39
|
6.45
|
3.77
|
4.56
|
|
Eric Surkamp
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
4
|
4
|
4.16
|
60
|
59
|
6
|
48
|
25
|
1.40
|
7.18
|
3.73
|
4.08
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
1
|
1
|
5.88
|
26
|
32
|
17
|
2
|
13
|
17
|
1.88
|
4.50
|
5.88
|
4.99
|
|
ZiPS
|
7
|
7
|
3.85
|
142
|
137
|
61
|
11
|
116
|
59
|
1.37
|
7.32
|
3.72
|
3.81
|
|
Marcel
|
5
|
4
|
4.19
|
73
|
73
|
34
|
6
|
55
|
30
|
1.41
|
6.78
|
3.70
|
3.95
|
|
Average
|
4
|
4
|
4.52
|
75
|
75
|
37
|
6
|
58
|
33
|
1.52
|
6.45
|
4.26
|
4.21
|
Relievers:
|
Brian Wilson
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
4
|
2
|
3.31
|
61
|
54
|
5
|
60
|
26
|
1.33
|
8.91
|
3.86
|
3.51
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
3.15
|
60
|
53
|
21
|
3
|
65
|
28
|
1.35
|
9.75
|
4.20
|
3.16
|
|
Fans
|
4
|
4
|
2.81
|
68
|
53
|
21
|
3
|
74
|
28
|
1.19
|
9.79
|
3.71
|
2.86
|
|
ZiPS
|
5
|
3
|
3.02
|
62
|
52
|
21
|
4
|
69
|
28
|
1.28
|
9.90
|
4.02
|
3.05
|
|
Marcel
|
4
|
4
|
3.30
|
60
|
54
|
22
|
4
|
59
|
24
|
1.30
|
8.85
|
3.60
|
3.23
|
|
Average
|
4
|
3
|
3.12
|
62
|
53
|
21
|
4
|
65
|
27
|
1.29
|
9.44
|
3.88
|
3.16
|
|
Sergio Romo
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
4
|
2
|
2.55
|
57
|
48
|
6
|
63
|
17
|
1.14
|
10.10
|
2.66
|
3.16
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
1.80
|
60
|
40
|
12
|
4
|
79
|
10
|
0.83
|
11.85
|
1.50
|
1.81
|
|
Fans
|
3
|
2
|
2.32
|
58
|
42
|
15
|
4
|
76
|
11
|
0.91
|
11.79
|
1.71
|
2.00
|
|
ZiPS
|
4
|
1
|
2.20
|
49
|
36
|
12
|
4
|
62
|
11
|
0.96
|
11.39
|
2.02
|
2.30
|
|
Marcel
|
4
|
3
|
2.95
|
55
|
45
|
18
|
4
|
59
|
14
|
1.07
|
9.65
|
2.29
|
2.70
|
|
Average
|
3
|
2
|
2.36
|
56
|
42
|
14
|
4
|
68
|
13
|
0.98
|
10.96
|
2.04
|
2.39
|
|
Javier Lopez
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
3
|
2
|
3.81
|
49
|
49
|
3
|
37
|
22
|
1.44
|
6.74
|
3.98
|
3.86
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
3.75
|
60
|
51
|
25
|
1
|
43
|
27
|
1.30
|
6.45
|
4.05
|
3.26
|
|
ZiPS
|
3
|
3
|
3.70
|
48
|
46
|
20
|
3
|
33
|
22
|
1.40
|
6.10
|
4.07
|
4.02
|
|
Marcel
|
4
|
3
|
3.47
|
57
|
53
|
22
|
3
|
42
|
23
|
1.33
|
6.63
|
3.63
|
3.61
|
|
Average
|
3
|
3
|
3.68
|
54
|
50
|
22
|
3
|
39
|
24
|
1.37
|
6.48
|
3.93
|
3.69
|
|
Jeremy Affeldt
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
4
|
3
|
3.47
|
63
|
59
|
4
|
56
|
27
|
1.36
|
7.97
|
3.84
|
3.48
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
3.30
|
60
|
51
|
22
|
5
|
54
|
25
|
1.27
|
8.10
|
3.75
|
3.71
|
|
Fans
|
3
|
3
|
3.38
|
61
|
57
|
23
|
6
|
52
|
25
|
1.34
|
7.67
|
3.69
|
4.00
|
|
ZiPS
|
3
|
2
|
3.52
|
53
|
48
|
21
|
5
|
47
|
23
|
1.32
|
7.88
|
3.85
|
3.94
|
|
Marcel
|
3
|
3
|
3.54
|
61
|
55
|
24
|
5
|
51
|
24
|
1.30
|
7.52
|
3.54
|
3.75
|
|
Average
|
3
|
3
|
3.44
|
60
|
54
|
23
|
5
|
52
|
25
|
1.32
|
7.83
|
3.73
|
3.78
|
|
Santiago Casilla
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
3
|
3
|
3.64
|
56
|
53
|
4
|
50
|
25
|
1.39
|
7.93
|
4.04
|
3.74
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
3.60
|
60
|
45
|
24
|
2
|
54
|
29
|
1.23
|
8.10
|
4.35
|
3.16
|
|
ZiPS
|
3
|
2
|
3.40
|
53
|
45
|
20
|
4
|
48
|
26
|
1.34
|
8.15
|
4.42
|
3.84
|
|
Marcel
|
3
|
3
|
3.38
|
56
|
48
|
21
|
4
|
48
|
23
|
1.27
|
7.71
|
3.70
|
3.64
|
|
Average
|
3
|
3
|
3.51
|
56
|
48
|
22
|
4
|
50
|
26
|
1.31
|
7.97
|
4.13
|
3.60
|
|
Guillermo Mota
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
4
|
3
|
3.61
|
66
|
64
|
7
|
57
|
25
|
1.34
|
7.68
|
3.37
|
3.99
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
3
|
3
|
3.73
|
70
|
62
|
29
|
8
|
61
|
27
|
1.27
|
7.84
|
3.47
|
3.97
|
|
ZiPS
|
2
|
2
|
4.05
|
60
|
56
|
27
|
7
|
51
|
24
|
1.33
|
7.65
|
3.60
|
4.10
|
|
Marcel
|
3
|
3
|
3.93
|
71
|
66
|
31
|
7
|
57
|
26
|
1.30
|
7.23
|
3.30
|
3.89
|
|
Average
|
3
|
3
|
3.83
|
67
|
62
|
29
|
7
|
57
|
26
|
1.31
|
7.60
|
3.44
|
3.99
|
|
Dan Runzler
|
|||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
Steamer
|
3
|
3
|
3.48
|
51
|
44
|
3
|
52
|
25
|
1.37
|
9.18
|
4.48
|
3.47
|
|
|
RotoChamp
|
1
|
1
|
4.00
|
27
|
27
|
12
|
1
|
27
|
16
|
1.59
|
9.00
|
5.33
|
3.29
|
|
ZiPS
|
3
|
3
|
3.80
|
64
|
56
|
27
|
4
|
63
|
38
|
1.47
|
8.86
|
5.34
|
3.80
|
|
Marcel
|
2
|
2
|
4.07
|
42
|
40
|
19
|
3
|
38
|
18
|
1.38
|
8.14
|
3.86
|
3.51
|
|
Average
|
2
|
2
|
3.84
|
46
|
42
|
19
|
3
|
45
|
24
|
1.45
|
8.80
|
4.75
|
3.52
|
|
Clay Hensley
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
||||||||||||||
|
Steamer
|
1
|
1
|
4.05
|
25
|
26
|
2
|
18
|
10
|
1.40
|
6.43
|
3.44
|
4.05
|
|||||||||||||||
|
RotoChamp
|
2
|
2
|
4.50
|
60
|
52
|
30
|
6
|
47
|
26
|
1.30
|
7.05
|
3.90
|
4.16
|
||||||||||||||
|
ZiPS
|
5
|
6
|
4.05
|
80
|
78
|
36
|
8
|
57
|
31
|
1.36
|
6.41
|
3.49
|
4.22
|
||||||||||||||
|
Marcel
|
4
|
5
|
3.86
|
70
|
63
|
30
|
7
|
57
|
27
|
1.29
|
7.33
|
3.47
|
3.99
|
||||||||||||||
|
Average
|
3
|
4
|
4.12
|
59
|
55
|
32
|
6
|
45
|
24
|
1.34
|
6.81
|
3.58
|
4.11
|
||||||||||||||
|
Steve Edlefsen
|
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Projection
|
W
|
L
|
ERA
|
IP
|
H
|
ER
|
HR
|
SO
|
BB
|
WHIP
|
K/9
|
BB/9
|
FIP
|
|
|||||||||||||
|
Steamer
|
0
|
0
|
4.05
|
2
|
3
|
0
|
2
|
1
|
1.51
|
5.87
|
4.22
|
4.09
|
|
||||||||||||||
|
ZiPS
|
3
|
5
|
4.90
|
60
|
63
|
33
|
6
|
41
|
38
|
1.66
|
6.08
|
5.63
|
5.04
|
|
|||||||||||||
|
Marcel
|
2
|
2
|
4.35
|
31
|
31
|
15
|
3
|
24
|
12
|
1.39
|
6.97
|
3.48
|
4.00
|
|
|||||||||||||
|
Average
|
2
|
2
|
4.43
|
31
|
32
|
24
|
3
|
22
|
17
|
1.52
|
6.31
|
4.44
|
4.38
|
|
|||||||||||||
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