The Giants have gotten off to a bit of a poor start and turn to Barry Zito to attempt to right the ship and get the team the first win of the season. The big problem is that my projection model says that the odds of that happening are pretty poor but on the bright side it also said that the odds of the team scoring 16 runs in a four game series was also very low.

Normally for this I have the statistics from the season in progress to go off of when doing this but seeing as the season is just a few games old, I will use the ZiPS Projections and the Baseball Musings Lineup Analysis tool with lineups from MLB Depth Charts as a proxy and as the season goes along I will weight the actual stats more and more as the season progresses. Right now I am weighting the projected stats at about 85 percent but I didn't really look into if this was good or bad but it felt about right so we'll see how it goes.

So here are the probable pitching match-ups courtesy of MLB.com:

Barry Zito vs. Jhoulys Chacin (Monday)
Tim Lincecum vs. Jeremy Guthrie (Wednesday)
Madison Bumgarner vs. Jamie Moyer (Thursday)

The projections say that the Giants chances of winning are 86 percent so it is unlikely (but possible) that the team starts 0 and 6:

	Rockies	Giants	Total Runs
Game 1	64%	36%	8.2
Game 2	47%	53%	7.6
Game 3	48%	52%	8.7
Sweep	14%	10%
2 out 3	40%	36%
1 out 3	36%	40%
0 out 3	10%	14%
Win Series	54%	46%
Lose Series	46%	54%

Predicting over under: My results were just as bad as the teams, going 0 for 3 while betting the under each game only to see the Giants explode for enough offense to fall just short. It sucks starting a hole but its a long season so hopefully I can make it up.

Season record 0-3

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